Thread: Trends
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Old 17-03-2010, 21:29
jtw1 jtw1 jest offline
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Re: Trends

WEAPONS AMNESTY 1st @ 10/1

BIG ZEB 1st @ 10/1



Unfortunately Thursday see's a poor day as far as stats are concerned as we have 4 Handicaps , don't do them , and the RyanAir chase which has only been run 5 times .

That leaves the WORLD HURDLE of which the most striking is the fact that, including 2004 all the win/placings have concerned the top 5 in the betting.

Add in 16/19 had won that season , 17/19 were rated over 160 and 22/22 finished in the first 4 last time out .

Apply all 3 Trends and we are left with BIG BUCKS , SENTRY DUTY , TIDAL BAY and TIME FOR RUPERT .

SENTRY DUTY is unproven over 3m as he has never tackled a distance further than 2m5f and ,more importantly, has been well beaten in both previous races at the Festival.

TIME FOR RUPERT could well be one for a place but at this stage of his career where he has only won at Listed grade and never ran at the Festival meeting puts me off his chance .
Slightly under the preferred Rating at 159

BIG BUCKS is a justified odds-on Fav but i'm going for TIDAL BAY @ 3/1 WITHOUT BIG BUCKS
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