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Re: Trends
GOODWOOD 3.25 Group 2 LENNOX STAKES
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Run as a Group 2 since 2003 so it's those last 6 years i'll concentrate on.
6/6 were rated 110+
Only 1 Fav has won in those 6 runnings
5/6 had won at Group 2 or 3 grade
5/6 were previous 7f winners
5/6 were returned at 7/1 or under.
3 three year olds have won
3 five year olds have won
ASSET is a non-runner.
EXPRESS WISH and REGAL PARADE are rated below 110.
BALTHAZARS GIFT is a 6yo and is around 28/1 in the market.
DREAM EATER has never won at Group level.
FINJAAN has never won over 7f [ only beaten a sh-hd in his only race over the dist but has never ran since the 2000 gns , 87 days ago [5/6 had ran within 60 days ]
Of the 3 left i think the 3yo OUQBA might just lack the class to take this .
A winner at Group 3 he has been well beaten at G1 and was 4th in his only outing in G2 grade , btn by WESTPHALIA .
Rated 114 , 5lb and 7lb behind his other 2 opponents , he will have to achieve a career best to win.
MAIN AIM looks like starting Fav , a negative imo , but has been running well this season , taking a Group 3 over 7f earlier in the season before running in places in the Queen Anne [4th] and the July Cup [2nd]
A winner 3 times over 7f he has improved as the season progresses but the odds are a bit skimpy as he takes on JJ THE JET PLANE.
The South African raider has won a couple of G1's and a G2 across there.
He has finished 4th when fav in the G1 Golden Jubilee Stakes at RA and was then a half length behind MAIN AIM when 3rd in the 6f July Cup and was noted as 'staying on' by the RP reporter.
Although 6f seems to be JJ's optimum distance , he has won over 7f once before and given a decent run is a better proposition at the odds than MAIN AIM imo.
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