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Re: Trends
CURRAGH 4.00 Group 3 7f Yielding 3yo+
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Although it has been a Grp 3 race for 10 seasons it was run over 8f from '98 to 2000 and from 2002 to 2006 it was for 4yo+
11/11 were returned at 5/1 or under [ 3 favs ]
11/11 were rated 102+
10/11 had WON that season with 8 successful LTO
8/8 were 7f winners [ when distance was shortened from 8f ]
9/11 had won/been placed in Listed/Group company
3yo's have won 2 from the 5 races they contested
4yo's have won 2/10
5/6yo's have won 7/10.
UK raiders have won 4 times from 14 runners and when those that started at 5/1 or under it is 4 wins and 4 seconds from 12 runners.
Rating - GUNGA DIN is only rated 93.
Distance - 7f is definately one of those where a previous win is a Big positive so with ROCK OF ROCHELLE [ 3 wins at 6f ] , , SNAEFELL [ 6 wins between 5 and 6f ] , AL QASI [ 5 wins at 6f ] and DOHASA [ 4 wins at 5+6f ] never having won over the dist , i'm discounting them here.
Wins this season -DOHASA and AL QASI also make this list as well as GEORGEBERNARDSHAW whose 2 career wins have both been on Heavy [ rain is forecast ] but seems to have fallen out of love with the game looking at this seasons results.
Wins/Places in Group co - Three Rocks has won twice earlier this season but his 4 career wins have never been in Listed grade , nevermind at Group level.
Then there was 2 - JUMBAJUKIBA who is still a force at the age of 6 , but he does seem to be finding one to good in most of his runs this season and i think the 2 year younger MAD ABOUT YOU can pip him here .
MAD ABOUT YOU'S record in 7f races is 1 , 2 , 3 , 1 , 2 and all those , with the exception of his winning debut , have been in at least Listed grade .
His running style [ usually tracks the leader in 3rd/4th ]should help here with JUMBAJUKIBA almost certain to lead from the start and the forecast rain will not hinder unless it turns Heavy , so keep an eye out fot that.
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