Quote:
Originally Posted by engineer
OK, at the outright betting I could go and oppose Federrer as I don't think he should be odds-on favorite this year. Tricky opponents (beatable of course) at the first rounds, then probably Tsonga at the quarters, Djokovic or Haas at the semi and most probably Murray at the final - I reckon Fed could be vulnerable against all of these.
I'll be back after lunch with today's bets.
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I have got to disagree with your assessment here. You wouldn't want to underestimate the power of good winning the French Open would do to Federer's confidence.
Let's not kid ourselves - Djokovic was piss poor at Halle (he has looked out of sorts since the Madrid SF against Nadal; even then, Nadal wasn't on top of his game) by his standards and I am certainly not buying the stuff that Haas played on top of his game in the final. Haas is one of those blokes who's good for a laugh when he's playing the top guys - he is mentally very very suspect and you can't help but feel that has pretty much deterred him from winning a Slam (talking about a prevailing trend that dates back to the pre-Federer era).
In short, without Nadal in sight, I don't see anyone troubling Federer here although that could prove disastrous for punters who expect Federer to stroll through every match as he has demonstrated an uncanny ability to lull into a sense of complacency and drop an odd silly set or two.
Got to expect Federer to take this year's Wimbledon at a canter and given his pedigree, the odds are a little over-generous (especially if you consider he was trading in the 1.20's to win the tourny a couple of years ago)...