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Re: Trends
DONCASTER - 6.15 - 8f - Listed - 4yo+
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13/13 returned at 8/1 or Under
12/13 were Southern trained , excetion was M Johnston
12/13 were 4 or 5 y olds
11/13 were making their seasonal debuts
11/11 were rated 100+
9/11 of the winners , when the race was run at Doncaster , had either won or been btn under 3l in Listed /Group company
Apply the odds and age factors and we're left with 4 to consider.
ATLANTIC SPORT
KING OF DIXIE
STAYING ON
UNNEFER
The RACING POST has KING of DIXIE down as Fav but the yard has only had 2 runners in the past fortnight which were well beaten.
Best placed 2nd in a Grp 3 Newmarket race last season which was run 1.71 secs above standard on FIRM going is suspect imo.
ATLANTIC SPORT has won at Listed level but CHANNON'S yard has only had 2 winners from 29 runners in the past 14 days .
Although his breeding suggets he will stay the 8f , 2 of his wins have been over 7f [ other was 6f] and with 4 of his career races over the 7f i think he might just toil to get the final 1f here .
UNNEFER has won at Listed grade but that was over 10f as has his last 5 outings + that race was run over 8secs slower than standard on Frim going !!
Will 8f on G/F be a bit too quick for this one ?
Henry Cecil has stated that he would prefer some give in the ground for UNNEFER , doubtful for Donny .
Providing the ground isn't FIRM at Donny the the selection goes to the Swinburn trained STAYING ON who , like UNNEFER has been tried at 10/11f but has decent winning form at 8f.
Too highly tried LTO in the Champion Stakes he nevertheles ran well when 8th , btn under 7l , in a Grp 3 at Newmarket but his best effort was when 2nd in the Hampton Stakes at Royal Ascot [10f]
A hat-trick at Kempton last night proves the stable is in form so the selection is - STAYING ON
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