[rcgills]

Not sure I much like the look of that one, Ajax. Yes, there are quite a few players missing on both sides, but there's still plenty of firepower out there - Forlan, Sinama Pongolle, Simao and Maxi Rodriguez will all start for Atletico, while although Barca's lineup isn't known yet, the likes of Henry, Messi, Bojan and Iniesta are all in the squad, so both teams are more than capable of scoring.

Wouldn't really say Atletico have a nice defence - 26 conceded in 17 league games isn't particularly impressive, in fact it's the joint 6th worst defence in the division. The absence of Puyol will also weaken the Barcelona defence.

Also, the games between these two sides in Madrid do tend to produce a lot of goals - 4-2 last year, 0-6 the year before that, 7 out of the last 10 have gone overs, with 4 of those producing 6 or more goals.

Having said all that, the price on the overs isn't particularly appealing, so I'm unlikely to go with that myself, but if I was forced to choose between overs and unders, with the quality up front that both sides have still got, I'd be on the overs. Good luck with your bet though.