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3rd Eviction
Any thoughts?
I suppose it's high time for a twist but they are near impossible to account for...Jen's odds look pretty generous to me as I don't see her beating anyone at all if she is up.
Anyway, nominations...
Firstly the one group - Bex/Dale/Jen/Luke/Stu...all are v likely to vote for Rex, almost without question. Some will vote for Mo, others might realise that after the spitting incident they would maybe be best to leave him out this week. So I'm gonna say Mo won't be up this week. So the few other votes could go in a few directions - Darnell in danger of a vote from Luke/Rebecca/Jen etc.
Let's say then that those noms end up with Rex 5, Darnell 3, Mo 2, roughly.
Onto the opposite group of Darnell, Rex and Mo.
Darnell should go for Jen and Luke...Dale has done plenty work on the other HMs to avoid too many nominations so he should be safe this week. Mo will go for Stu and Dale I think, no love lost there. Rex should also be fairly predictable, altho Bex's recent rants might get her a nom rather than the likely Jen and Dale. I'll plump for Bex and Jen.
So that would leave:
Rex 5
Darnell 3
Mo 2
Jen 2
Dale 1
Stu 1
Luke 1
Bex 1
Onto the middle men, the important ones!
Rachel - she's anti-Luke but given her disagreements with Bex this week I think she'll let him be for a week and go for Jen and Bex. As I say, I dont think many will go for Dale, and just be satisfied with going for Jen at the moment, as I think most(wrongly) see Dale as v popular on the outside and not one you'd want to face in a vote. Again, Bex's performance over the last few days will get the votes of the trio of Mikey, Mario, and Lisa, who didn't like her anyway. Those three likely to all go the same way I think, but that's not 100%. Bex definately, but Lisa might not go for Jen with her second.
That means...
Jen 6?
Rex 5
Bex 5
Darnell 3
Mo 2
Dale 1
Stu 1
Luke 1
That leaves Kat - who is tricky but she went for Jen last week so should do so again. Not sure about her other.
Whatever happens, Jen goes if she's up as I say, and it looks to me like she'll be up.
I'll be having a saver on Rebecca too as she's imploding quickly - Rex is only gone if up against neither of those two, and that looks impossible to me.
4pts Jen @ 3.75
1pt Rebecca @ 7.00(Corals)
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