[rcgills]

One final bet for me as I touched on earlier. I've mentioned these stats a few times in recent months, but worth mentioning again. Wozniacki is a very promising player, but every time she comes up against the very top players, she falls apart. Since October she's met what I'd consider top players 7 times (Venus 3 times, Sharapova, Ivanovic, Kuznetsova and Davenport). Outcome? 7 defeats, 0 sets won, 14 sets lost, and none of them have even been close - she's always lost by at least 5 games overall. Sharapova hammered her 6-0 6-1 in their meeting, at Doha in February. Clay might not be Sharapova's favourite surface, but it's certainly not Wozniacki's either (4-4 for the year, and 16-11 for her WTA career).

Sharapova had a tough game last time out against Cibulkova, eventually pulling through in 3 sets, but she'll be the better for a work-out like that after nearly a month off.

The handicap has been set a bit too close for my liking (+/- 5.5 games on Sporting Odds), although that handicap was cleared in 6 of the 7 matches I've mentioned, and the total games market (+/- 18.5 games) is dodgy given that Wozniacki took Ivanovic to a tie-break (after losing the first set 6-1), and Venus to a 7-5, so she's capable of keeping one set close at times. So I'll go for the 2-0 Sharapova option instead.

Sharapova 2-0 @ 1.62 5pts