[rcgills]

Safina looks a decent bet to me for today. She's had some fantastic results this week (as has Dementieva, it's true), beating Henin and Serena Williams. Have only seen bits and pieces of her matches (end of the deciding set v Serena, first set v Azarenka), and she's been playing some fantastic stuff. She's always been a player I've had down as being a bit mentally fragile until now, but she showed no signs of that whatsoever against Serena in the QF.

H2H is 2-2, but Safina has taken both the clay meetings - one through retirement, but the other was a 6-1 6-1 hammering in Rome in 2006. Having said that, Dementieva took the last meeting between the two, returning the thrashing with a 6-1 6-0, although that was on carpet in Moscow.

I'd make Dementieva a marginal favourite for this one, she's certainly in excellent form herself, but given the way Safina's played this week I think she's got a much better chance than the odds suggest.

Lay Dementieva @ 1.71 to win 4pts