Thread: 7-8 May: Spain
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Old 07-05-2008, 15:36
rcgills rcgills jest offline
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Re: 7-8 May: Spain

Four that I like the look of tonight:

Almeria @ 5.1 - Almeria still in with an outside chance of making the UEFA cup. They're 6pts off Sevilla, but Sevilla have got two tough games coming up (away to Racing and a derby away to Betis), while Almeria have got this game against Getafe and then Huelva at home. If they can take 6pts from these two games I'd say it's pretty likely they'll be within striking distance of Sevilla going into the last game. Getafe have managed just 3pts from their last 7 games, the UEFA Cup/Spanish Cup final defeats seem to have hit them mentally. Huge price on Almeria in my opinion.

Mallorca @ 2.18 - Mallorca another side chasing the UEFA Cup places, and have a striker in Dani Guiza who just can't stop scoring, something which Osasuna could most definitely do with at the moment, having scored just 4 in their last 8 games. Can't believe Mallorca are odds against for this one.

Villarreal @ 2.68 - Villarreal know a win here could well clinch them the runners-up spot and automatic qualification for the Champions League if Barcelona don't beat Real Madrid. Huelva are unbeaten in 4 at home, but that was wins against the bottom 2, and draws with Bilbao and Barcelona (who were pretty poor in that game). Nice price on Villarreal, and I'd certainly trust them more than I'd trust Atletico Madrid

Racing @ 3 - only 1pt between these 2 in the table, and with Sevilla having won the home game between them 4-1, and the H2H being used to separate sides that finish level on points, there's no way Racing can afford to lose this one if they want to finish above Sevilla and claim the final Champions league spot. Atletico Madrid currently in that 4th place and the Champions League places, 2pts above Sevilla and 1pt above Racing, so a draw really isn't going to be much good to either of these sides, I'd expect them both to have to go for it.

Pretty solid home record this season for them, 10-3-4 (although they had to come from 0-2 down against Murcia at the weekend to beat them 3-2, so maybe some nerves showing). Sevilla have won just 5 away games this season, and failed to break down a poor Murcia side in their last away game, drawing 0-0.

4pt singles on all of the above games, 6 x 0.5pt doubles, 4 x 0.4pt trebles and a 0.5pt 4-fold. Pretty confident at least 2 of them should come in, 2 would more or less return stakes, 3 will return a nice profit.
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