View Single Post
  #8 (permalink)  
Old 03-05-2008, 08:53
Quandram's Avatar
Quandram Quandram jest offline
The Betting Blunderbuss
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 1161
Thanks: 0
Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts
Re: 3-5th May English Premier League

I'm going against some here but I agree with Muse/

Bolton @ 1.67 What the hell is that about.

Fine they have to win and there are decent arguments for them doing so with Sunderland now safe… but 1.67

That just screams lay to me. And I think i’ll be taking it… unless i talk myself in to the following.

Relegation betting:
33pts -20 GD Bolton: vs Sunderland, @ Chelsea
33pts -28 GD Reading: vs Spurs, @ Derby
32pts -17 GD Brum: @ Fulham, vs Blackburn
30pts -25 GD Fulham: vs Brum, @ Pompey

For better or worse, I believe the following.

Bolton will not win today and get nothing from Chelsea.
Reading can get 4pts from those games, probably a minimum of 3pts.
Birmingham will lose to Fulham and then 1-3pts against Blackburn
Fulham will beat Birmingham and then 1-3pts vs Pompey

That would leave the following
Reading 36-7pts
Fulham 34-37pts
Birmingham 33-36pts
Bolton 33-34pts

This suggests I think Fulham will survive in the Prem. Curious. I think Birmingham are probably a better but I don’t see the same fight.

So lay Bolton today and/or back them for relegation (@ 2.75)
Back Fulham today @ 2.2 and/or lay them for relegation @ 1.22

Not decided yet totally but i can see me getting in to those bets.
Reply With Quote