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Old 17-04-2008, 19:59
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Re: 19th April Welsh Premier League

Caersws v Caernarfon
Caersws last three games have been draws , one being 1-1 at home Llangefni , prior to these draws they had lost 7 games. Caersws have a poor home record W2 D3 L11 .
Caernarfon have won their last two games , they beat Llangefni 1-0 at home with a weakend side. Caernarfon away record is poor W4 D2 L10 and those wins were last year with the most recent away win was Sun 18-11-2007. I suppose that it is this away record that has dictated Caernarfon's price.
These are two poor sides so anything coulld happen. I saw Caernarfon win on Tuesday , their performance was not much but their commitment was 100% even though they were safe from relegation.
I am hoping that Caernarfon win to give my side Port a slim chance to avoid relegation but I do see value in Caernarfon's price.
Caernarfon @ 4.33 with Coral

Porthmadog v Rhyl
Port the only side that has not won at home all season against 3rd placed Rhyl , Port did give Rhyl a good game on Easter monday but lost 1-0 with a goal in the 80th minute.H2H record is in Rhyl's favour with Port winning 1 and Rhyl winning 7 in their recent league encounters.
I'll be watching this match hoping for a Port win but evens for Rhyl looks a nice price but it will not get my money when we need points to avoid relegation. I spoke to some of Port's committe at the Caernarfon game last night and there are a few injury worries and Roberts one of our defenders is working.
Rhyl @ 2.0 with paddies is a decent bet , but loyalty prevents me from betting even though I have gone against my club in the past

Port Talbot v Llangefni
Pot Talbot 4th in the league who are a good home side , they were well beaten 5-0 by Rhyl last Saturday but recovered and won 3-1 at Welshpool on Tuesday. Llangefni are the bottom side with the worse away record in this league . I saw them lose at Caernarfon on Wednesday and they did work hard but lacked height up front . I cannot see anything but a home win here and I'm hoping for an easy win to give my team a chance of staying up .
Port Talbot @ 1.73 with Coral

At the end of last month I said I was going to avoid betting on this league in April due to my record in previous seasons, but the relegation struggle has involved my club and i've been sucked in and my season's profit has suffered since March 21st.
Take care with these bets boys and good luck.
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