Quote:
Originally Posted by Beanie
I think thats true for the most part ODM, but not in relation to Tiger. He's staged remarkable comebacks so often and experienced and inexperienced players alike have fallen to bits so often when they see his name anywhere near the top of the leaderboard that the market tends to keep faith with Tiger until the bitter end. In my opinion he's almost always short throughout a tournament.
If he's 4 shots back after day 1 then his price wont budge - he's the most consistent player on Tour by a mile and you can almost guarantee a further 3 solid rounds, whereas virtually all other players will throw in a wobble.
I'm not saying laying him is a bad move btw, just that I'm not sure laying off will be particularly valuable at any point.
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You're spot on of course Beanie. I didn't initially back Woods with a lay and back policy in mind. More of a sense that if I can go into the last day with 3 or 4 players at around the same score as him then I'll be happy with letting it run at the price I have.
You're right that Tiger is a different animal and normal rules don't apply to him but if he does have a stinker of a day and his price weakens by a point or two, it's an option.
I accept that all logic says I'm doomed but in the same way as any poor sucker foolish enough to lay Man United last Saturday was doomed.
Sometimes, fortune favours the stupid.
