Regarding Garcia, Ive noticed an interesting trend with him in majors. I looked to see if I could capitalise on it but I cant pre tourny as the odds are pretty stingy in such a market (miss the cut market). We may be able to take advantage after the cut though. Anyway, these are the stats
Garcia played 37 majors / missed 11 cuts (which is a lot for a quality player imo). I can only see
Bet365 and
Betfair doing a miss the cut market and as a result (combined with awful liquidity) hes statistically priced up near spot on at 5/2. If you really fancy him to miss the cut tho 2damn thats the bet for you.
26 cuts made / 8 top 5s / 13 top 10s
Now thats an awful lot of Top 5s there. Basically if he makes the cut he plays very well very often, thats 31% of finishing in the top 5 when making the cut, his odds would often be way way better than 2/1 of making top 5 after the cut, so could be a possible future bet there for a top 5 placeing. Obviously thats 50% top 10s so same rules apply odd depending on whether it would be value.
Id never back him to win though, I think after blowing last years British Open to Harrington hes mentally fudged.