Fasteddy,
Totally agreed with you on your first 2 picks and I think there is a high % of winning those bets. I still fancy Chelsea to beat Derby by a couple of goals...as goal difference may play a part during the closing season...and for Chelsea to play a team like Derby, its going to be cricket scoreline. With only 5 goals for and 33 against...and they have lost by more than 3 goals to the top 4 teams.. MU 4-1, Pool 6-0, Arsenal 5-0...no chance for Derby to grab anything here..yes I know Chelsea lost to barnsley over the weekend but that is a CUP game..this is back to basics mate.
I predict a 5-0 Victory for Chelsea. HT 3-0 FT 5-0. Going for HT/FT Chelsea and will follow your pick on Villa and Birmingham.
Good luck.