Here's the theory again for Italian Series c1b, odds from
William Hill
Matches played 188
Home wins 82 ( 43.61% )
Draws 73 ( 38.82% )
Away wins 33 ( 17.55% )
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win = 2.05
draw = 2.9
average = 2.45(roughly)
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8 games played, 1.5 = away wins
6.5 = draws/home wins
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£10 on 8 wins, 8 draws = £160
16 bets - 8 can be right - 2 are away wins = 6 correct bets
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16 minus 6 = 10 wrong bets
--- £100 lost
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6 winning £10 bets with odds at 2.45
= £147