A week is a long time in reality TV. I can't really disagree with much of what you said although I can't pick a winner from Chris, Gareth or Suzanne...and neither seemingly can the bookies!
By betting on a female at 7/4 as the winner you may as well be betting on Suzanne Shaw at 2/1 as she's surely only one of the four left that will last the course.
It's
absolute gubbins at this stage as to what should happen. There's been no seemingly good rhyme or reason why a couple should be in the bottom two so far (I've even forced myself to watch the repeats on ITV2 now! I thought the Russian might have helped Natalie edge the skate-off against Tim but the judges were more impressed by Lord knows what...a couple of small jumps!? It's ridiculous).
One could argue is that Aggie has a natural fanbase (housewives) and that's why she's surviving and of the two that are gone that they didn't have much of a fanbase. One assumes Irish support for Samantha Mumba may be non-existent. Linda Lusardi could go far purely because of Emmerdale support.
Updated odds from
Stan James...
Match-betting:
* Gareth Gates 10/11 vs Suzanne Shaw 4/5
* Greg Rusedski 4/6 vs Steve Backley 11/10
* Chris Fountain 1/20 vs Linda Lusardi 15/2
* Michael Underwood 1/33 vs Aggie Mackenzie 9/1
Top female odds from
Stan James:
Suzanne Shaw 1/7
Samantha Mumba 13/2
Linda Lusardi 8/1
Aggie Mackenzie 33/1
Top male odds from
Stan James:
Gareth Gates 5/4
Chris Fountain 6/4
Michael Underwood 7/1
Greg Rusedski 14/1
Steve Backley 16/1
Tim Vincent 16/1
3rd elimination odds from
Stan James:
Aggie Mackenzie 2/1
Steve Backley 6/1
Linda Lusardi 6/1
Samantha Mumba 6/1
Greg Rusedski 6/1
Tim Vincent 6/1
Michael Underwood 8/1
Suzanne Shaw 25/1
Gareth Gates 25/1
Chris Fountain 25/1
Updated to win outright odds from
Stan James:
Suzanne Shaw 2/1
Gareth Gates 9/4
Chris Fountain 5/2
Michael Underwood 10/1
Samantha Mumba 20/1
Greg Rusedski 20/1
Steve Backley 25/1
Linda Lusardi 25/1
Tim Vincent 25/1
Aggie Mackenzie 100/1
Winning gender odds from
Stan James: Male 2/5, Female 7/4