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Old 19-12-2007, 17:35
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Re: Uefa Cup (Dec 19-20)

Soccer - 514 Aalborg +325 for Game
Soccer - Draw (Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Aalborg) +245 for Game

Soccer - 520 Spartak Moscow +160 for Game
Soccer - Draw (Toulouse vs Spartak Moscow) +215 for Game

Soccer - 522 Zurich +180 for Game
Soccer - Draw (Zurich vs Leverkusen) +215 for Game

Amounts for all three games are 1 unit for the win, 1/2 unit for the draw.

In the first game, Tel Aviv advance with a win and if Anderlecht loses at Getafe. Getafe would like to win because they would win the group in that case, but they advance with a draw as well, a situation that would knock Tel Aviv out regardless of their result. Aalborg have nothing to play for, having finished last...and yet they have played with a nothing to lose attitude that has had them in all their games. Tel Aviv is dead last in its league with a 1-3-9 record, and even though Aalborg's season ended a while ago, they finished first in a competitive league. Good odds for a possible upset.

Spartak Moscow travel to Toulouse having already advanced and sitting at the top of Group E. Toulouse have zero points. Moscow have more motivation to win the group than Toulouse have motivation to gain something from UEFA... this is really a bet for value on the team that actually has something to gain even if they'll play some part-timers.

Zurich and Bayer Leverkusen sit one point behind Spartak, and both have advanced. If Spartak wins, it is better for both these teams to lose (Zurich holds a one-goal advantage in the tiebeaker). If Spartak loses or draws, this game determines who finishes at the top of the group. Now, the games go on simultaneously, so it's not like teams can plan out what to do in advance. But see what happens if Spartak jump out ahead... As for these two teams, Zurich have the home field and have a full squad to choose from, while Leverkusen left many regulars at home...reports indicate they don't care as much as the Swiss.

BOL all
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