Thread: Trends
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Old 07-12-2007, 22:02
jtw1 jtw1 jest offline
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Re: Trends

Hopefully the trends can come give us at least one winner at SANDOWN on TINGLE CREEK day

2.05
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positives -

13/14 were in the top 2 in the betting
12/14 had won at least once in their last 2 outings
13/14 had never fell/unseated
7 from last 8 had ran at CHELT in either of prev 2 runs
7/8 had ran between 20-32 days previously

negatives -

0/14 were over 8/1
0/14 were over 8y-old

Ok , so it's a bit of a no-brainer [again] but the selection falls on the probable FAV - MOON OVER MIAMI .


2.35
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positives -

12/15 were in the top 3 in the betting
13/15 finished 1st/2nd LTO
13/15 were 1st/2nd FAV LTO

negatives -

0/15 priced 8/1+
1/15 finished 4th or worse LTO
3/15 ran at CHELT /ASCOT LTO

Those stats from the RFO does'nt give us a lot to go on but i think if we look at PAUL NICHOLS record in this race we can oppose the FAV .
Since 1999 his best priced runners have finished -1,2,3,1,2,2,1,1.
So TWIST MAGIC is given the vote .


3.10
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positives -

9/14 were 1st LTO
13/14 won at least once in their last 6 outings
10/14 had won at least 3 times in thier career
9/14 were in the bottom 5 in the weights
13/14 were aged 4-6yolds

negatives -

2/14 were FAVS
1/14 were 20/1+
2/14 were in the top 5 of the handicap
0/14 had ran more than 49days previously
25 beaten FAVS have ran with NONE winning.

WINGMAN
fits the bill
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