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Old 10-11-2007, 12:48
jtw1 jtw1 jest offline
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Trends

Using the Trends section from the RACING+ FOOTBALL OUTLOOK stats to give me as little work as possible

2.35 DONCASTER -

positives
--------
8 out of 15 were 2nd/3rd favs
11 /15 finished in first 3 LTO
14/15 won in at least one of last 6 runs
5y-old + have won 9/15 from 89 runners [10%]

negatives
---------

only 2 favs in 15
only 1 winner over 16/1

Applying all these leaves us with GALEOTA - stats = 2nd LTO , 4th fav in betting at time of writing , won 2 of last 6 and is a 5y-old .

GALEOTA has a 3/3/1 placing over 6f from 12 runs
On todays ground has a 3/2/1 from 10 runs
Class-wise has a 3/2/2 placed record from 12 runs


3.10 DONC -

positives
--------

14/15 won at least 1 of last 6 runs
12/15 finished in first 3 LTO
11/15 finished in the first 4 in both of last 2 outings
14/15 either won or were beaten no more than 4l LTO

negatives
---------

only 1 winner priced 33/1 or over
Only 2 favs [inc jt] from 17 qualifiers.
Only 3 /15 were aged 5y-old+

Apply all these and we're left with NEW GUINEA - stats = won 3 of last 6 ,
1st LTO , won last 2 , odds = 14/1 and is a 4y-old.

DIST winner and ground no problems .


2.35 - WINCANTON

positives
--------

7 favs [inc jt ] from 15
7/15 won LTO
12/15 placed first 3 LTO
10/15 were from the bottom 4 in the weights
P NICHOLLS has won 4 from 17 runners

negatives
---------

2nd/3rd favs only won 1/15

Bit of a no-brainer here but the selection is ABRAGANTE -stats = Looking like starting fav , won LTO , 2nd bottom weight .
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