[stereoman]

OT: 4 years ago-ish, John Kerry was a phenomenal 10/1 to win the Democratic nomination.

It was after a relatively good performance on a CNN debate where he stood out amongst the other Democratic candidates that shrunk his odds almost immediately (much like David Cameron impressing against a rather insipid David Davis in an early Conservative conference where he was also 10/1).

We'll see more conferences, more mud-slinging, more televised debates and more polls but I think most Democratic and Republican voters will be sheep and follow the one most likely to seemingly attract floating voters (well duh) and it will be dirty tricks, perception of public personas and 'personality politics' at play in which Hillary Clinton and Rudy Giuliani hold the lead...for now.

...to think I pooh-poohed Barack Obama's chances a year or so ago! He was 50/1! :wasntme