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Birmingham v Arsenal
I fancy a low scoring match here, with Arsenal the likely winners but I doubt they'll have it as easy as they did against Everton. BIRMINGHAM tend to keep it tight at home versus top half teams and for all their scoring prowess, ARSENAL don't score nearly as many goals away from home as they do at Highbury.

KEY STATS
BIRMINGHAM at home v top half teams, 8/9 under 2.5 goals (only one that wasn't was a 90th minute winner in a 2-1 win for BOLTON)

ARSENAL away v bottom half teams, 6/9 under 2.5 goals

ARSENAL home goals for, last 7 matches - 7314352 (25)
ARSENAL away goals far, last 7 matches - 2011130 (8)

Recommended bet - 4pts @ 1.83 under 2.5 goals

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Bolton v Everton
BOLTON are pretty solid in the first half in recent times, they've been behind at HT just once in their last 16 matches. EVERTON are notoriously poor in the first half yet only Chelsea have a better 2nd half record.

KEY STATS
BOLTON behind at HT just once in their last 16 matches

EVERTON ahead at HT just 4 times in 37 games, only Norwich have been leading at HT on fewer occasions

EVERTON are the lowest first half scorers in the Premiership

Recommended bets - 1pt @ 6.0 draw/draw, 1pt @ 11.5 draw/Everton